Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.412080 0.485100 0.565406 0.660024 0.768183 0.887686 1.029431
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.302349 0.399428 0.516918 0.668431 0.857364 1.083820 1.374272
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.231641 0.338380 0.478629 0.673718 0.934941 1.269134 1.724893
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.182764 0.292043 0.446404 0.675619 1.001574 1.441769 2.072942
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.150131 0.260063 0.425659 0.685980 1.075786 1.626826 2.450639
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.123763 0.231259 0.403139 0.687772 1.134239 1.791495 2.810773
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.098450 0.198415 0.367950 0.663272 1.147590 1.888476 3.077587
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.086598 0.186216 0.363814 0.686552 1.235643 2.102374 3.532659
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.075873 0.173749 0.356819 0.703135 1.313027 2.304215 3.982356
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.070285 0.170107 0.364790 0.746044 1.437514 2.589341 4.581892
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060093 0.154803 0.348351 0.742158 1.479775 2.741811 4.976296
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.050870 0.139560 0.329473 0.730768 1.506467 2.868580 5.334817
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.043221 0.126459 0.313318 0.723370 1.541117 3.014164 5.740118
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.038389 0.119134 0.308320 0.737776 1.618266 3.240368 6.300070
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033750 0.111204 0.300674 0.745551 1.682975 3.448482 6.841392
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029464 0.103151 0.291373 0.748385 1.737675 3.641452 7.367013
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026249 0.097331 0.286406 0.760003 1.810938 3.873608 7.977244
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022994 0.090517 0.277801 0.762071 1.864058 4.070307 8.532777
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018986 0.080135 0.258110 0.735309 1.852516 4.139672 8.852020
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017542 0.077924 0.259921 0.760792 1.957441 4.446263 9.641377
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015982 0.074867 0.258868 0.778934 2.047300 4.727758 10.396765
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015466 0.075548 0.268650 0.825842 2.206502 5.160271 11.470305
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013501 0.070056 0.259292 0.821596 2.246493 5.347835 12.066782